Tag Archives: Riken

A new story about shareholder determination!

This is a VERY important article. As you-all may or may not know (and not necessarily, seeing as how there has been almost zero coverage), Astellas Pharmaceuticals is trying to buy Ocata. Now for a recap, for those who don’t know. Ocata, of course, holds the patents for stem cell-based treatments to a long list of incurable diseases. Their FDA-approved study for a cure for age-related macular degeneration has finished Phase I. AMD affects 220 million people in the world– yep, that’s right, 220 million– and is the number one cause of blindness in the developed world. A Phase I trial is only required to show safety. Ocata’s trial showed major improvement in over half the subjects, and stopped the progression of the original disease in all but one. These gains have been maintained for several years.

Most drugs currently for sale on the market for any purpose at all do not have results like this. Yep, I’m going to say it again; most approved drugs that have completed all phases of testing and can be bought at Walmart with your doctor’s prescription do not have a success rate like this. That’s not even mentioning the cures in earlier phases of testing, the ones for multiple sclerosis, rheumatoid arthritis, Crohn’s disease, lupus, chronic fatigue, and on and on and on. And… the company’s in danger of being bought out.

Not all of the retail shareholders agree with me on this, but given the insane unending demonizing of embryonic stem cell research in this country, I will be okay with seeing this go to Japan if that’s what it takes to make these cures happen. BUT… and it’s a big but… Ocata is giving it away for almost nothing. Now THAT, we can do something about. We are standing firm against the unacceptable offers that Astellas has made so far. And we’re getting some press at last! 🙂 Read and share!!
Small investors oppose Ocata sale; $379M offer deemed too low for drug ‘worth billions’

The Latest Thoughts on Why Ocata is Being Bought out by Astellas

A snippet from Part 4 of Light a Candle: (warning: narrative excellence not guaranteed):

How exactly had this happened? Where had everything gone wrong, and why? We were all groping the dark for answers. I knew better than most people that it had almost certainly not happened because of problems with the science. I still winced when remembering the endless odysseys to the OHSU library, wheedling my way in to do forbidden research—or at least research that it was forbidden to do in any more convenient way if you’re weren’t either a student or a professor. It also didn’t really explain anything to say that Astellas had been willing to do the JV and then leaped on the opportunity to take over the company outright. Who wouldn’t have done that? Why were they able to do it? That was the real question, and the key.

Pentecostal protestors weren’t marching with pickets around Pfizer. The top corporate officers at Janssen Pharmaceuticals weren’t raving evangelicals. Death threats weren’t being sent to the entire board of directors at GM. Nothing immediate was happening, and perhaps it would be better if it were. The obvious and immediate threat could be confronted and fought. But the sneaky sludge clogging the gears had been building up for many years. In brief? The long-term situation created by “religious” protests had led to the current reality, which was that Ocata’s perceived worth was a fraction of its real one. The market ran on fear, uncertainty, and doubt. Logic often had little to do with value that was perceived. Ocata did not have current cures that were commercially available. People couldn’t take their blind grandmas to the retinal specialist and bring them back crying, “I can see again!” Embryonic stem cell research was buried under layers and layers and layers of smothering superstition, fear, and a strange hatred. So direct experience was all that would convince the average person. And it was still years away from happening.

Except that in Japan, it wouldn’t be. That culture simply didn’t care; they were untroubled by the shibboleths. They knew that saving people’s lives, adults’ lives, children’s lives, was more important than hysterically clinging to some insane illusion about the value of a blastocyst that would otherwise have been thrown into a dumpster behind a fertility clinic.

Another rant was definitely shaping up. I rubbed my nose.

My Amazing Powers of Predicting Disaster: Failure of the Takahashi Trials

!!!!!!
Ahem.

Well, the Japanese Takahashi trials with the induced pluripotent stem cells are turning out to be a dangerous failure. Read all about it here. Just as SOMEBODY predicted. Hmm… I can’t imagine who…

Anyway. The trials were stopped because, in the words of New Scientist: “ genetic mutations were discovered in the cells of the second trial participant. One of the mutations may carry a remote risk of cancer.” (Remote… oh really? This is the same publication that has carried gushing fan news about the IPSC trials since Day One. Of course, so have all the rest… but still, I wouldn’t trust a disclaimer like that as far as I could throw it.)

Hmm… .WHO predicted this failure last year? WHO posted these predictions multiple times all over the web, including Paul Knoepfler’s blog and investorstemcell.com? WHO said it was way too soon to rush into the clinical setting when there hadn’t been even a tenth of the number of animal studies that should have happened first? WHO held fast to this prediction, even when nobody agreed with her and nobody wanted to hear about it?

Could it be… ME??

Hint: the answer is yes.

I’m NOT posting the link to Randy Travis singing “I Told You So” again. This is actually beyond even what I dared to predict last fall for the IPSC trials. That’s it. There HAS to be a way to turn this amazing psychic power to predict disaster into something valuable… (hmmm)

Anise: (poring over a crystal ball while clients wait impatiently) I can tell you all the Powerball combinations that aren’t going to win.

Clients: Isn’t there a faster way?

Anise: No. But I can give you all 174 million losing number combinations, and you just have to go through them– wait– where are you going??

The point is that I knew the IPSC trials wouldn’t work. They were rushed to the clinic crazy fast because it was a chance for Japan and Riken to get the first clinical trial of IPSC’s underway. This represented a chance to save face after the STAP cell disaster last year. To tell you the truth, it’s not rocket science and is very easy to piece together. However, this kind of outcome is what I hoped wouldn’t happen. But it was always a possibility. I posted long, long threads about it in the past, and we really don’t need to go into all of it again here… suffice it to say that there are good reasons to have a lot more animal trials before jumping immediately and dangerously fast into clinical trials.

You know… this sounds horrible, but the failure of these trials will ultimately help Ocata a lot. One by one, the inferior and not-ready-for-prime time stem cell treatments are falling. Ocata’s treatment for AMD is the only one that continues to advance through all trials with flying colors. And since this is treatment I would need… well, I think I have the cred to say it!!

Also, it would have been good for that article to get Ocata’s name right. 😛 But you know… there’s good and bad in everything.

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More thoughts about Japanese stem cell trials right now…

I was working on the section of my book that deals with iPSC stem cell trials in Japan– a little bit about the history, Yamanaka’s discovery of iPSC cells in 2006, and how it all got to where we are now. There’s a lot of material about where we actually are at this point, too. Reading over what’s there so far, it’s kind of hard to avoid the conclusion that I’m sounding pretty negative about the Japanese research. It’s not that I want to take a negative attitude about it– I’d much rather see that research succeed– but they’re moving so fast, and I just can’t get on the rah-rah bandwagon. Here’s a good example of what I mean.

Over the past couple of years, Paul Knoepfler has posted a lot of concerns and critical thoughts about the process of getting iPS cells to clinical trials, and he’s used some pretty strong language. For example, here’s part of what he posted in October 2012:

Are iPS cells being rushed to the clinic or has their time come?
Just the title alone kind of tells us what his thoughts might be, but there’s much more. Here’s a very relevant quote:

The iPS cell field has run fast and furious over the past 6 years reaching a big milestone surprisingly quickly on Monday with Shinya Yamanaka winning the Nobel Prize.

But is the field going too fast?

In August I argued that iPS cells are not quite ready for primetime (i.e. clinical trial studies).

Now in October I mostly feel the same way.

But reportedly, some iPS cell researchers are working to start clinical studies wherein iPS cells would be transplanted into human patients as early as next year in Japan.

This is both exciting, but also potentially very risky if not flirting with disaster.

It would be tragic if the excitement and creativity exploding from iPS cells became diminished in the future by a rush to the clinic that harmed patients.

Pretty strong words. In fact, let’s look back at the August 2012 blog post that Paul referenced:

iPS cells not quite ready for primetime?

I like and support the idea of iPS cell banks (as discussed by Yamanaka). However, I do not believe the field has advanced far to support clinical use of iPS cells in the near future.

I realize that clinical use may nonetheless be on the horizon just a few years out in certain countries such as Japan, but in my opinion iPS cells are “not ready for primetime”, meaning not ready for clinical use. Not yet.

I also realize that some people in the stem cell field are going to be mad at me for saying this, but I believe it is true. People don’t read this blog to get sugar-coated, politically correct statements, right?

Are we ready to start using iPS cells in patients in the near future? Say in just a couple years?

Are they ready for primetime?

I think the answer is clearly “no”.

Guess what? This blog post was written in August 2012; Takahashi and company performed the first human transplant in September 2014. This means that the EXACT situation that Paul warned about, the EXACT one that he said absolutely should not happen, is EXACTLY the one that happened. (!!!) (feel free to add more exclamation points.)

But that’s far from all he had to say. Now, let’s fast forward to April 2013, only a year and a half ago:

As iPS cell studies in humans approach, accessible relevant pre-clinical data remains minimal

This dealt with Japanese scientist Takahashi and her attempts to get the first-ever human trials with iPSC’s off the ground (again, this actually did happen in September 2014.) Here’s what he had to say then, only a little over a year before that happened:

In her ISSCR seminar given 10 months ago, Takahashi presented some safety data from mice on the RPEs, but not from larger animals such as monkeys. To be clear, larger animal studies are not also not required, but this is an important distinction since larger animals are sometimes better models for humans and also because there were some anecdotal reports that said she had in fact presented larger animal pre-clinical safety data at the ISSCR meeting.

My understanding from Geron’s and ACT’s experience at the FDA here in the US is that the short-term nature of this iPS cell safety data along with very low animal numbers and lack of a clinically-relevant transplantation paradigm would be far from satisfying regulators here in the US that human studies should begin.

Unless there are a lot more, longer-term studies (e.g. 1 year or even longer) done on many more animals (e.g. 100s) yielding equally encouraging safety results specifically on transplants in the retina (not just sub-Q teratoma assays), I am deeply concerned as to whether the field is really ready to make the jump to transplanting iPS cell-based therapies into people any time soon.

Those long-term studies simply did not happen. There was never another large animal used in a study besides that one monkey (I have a copy of the study; I might post it later.) No additional long-term studies, certainly no hundreds of animals. I’m not sure about the transplant safety results, but I don’t really see how those could have been done when the long-term, additional studies themselves weren’t done. One thing we do know is that preclinical research wasn’t published until after this article (I want to say July 2013, but I would have to look this up.) Dr. Takahashi was given the go-ahead to start recruiting for the clinical trials in August 2013.

So what happened to the concern? Well, we don’t really know. It hasn’t been brought up in relation to the incredible rush to the clinic that the Takahashi study has turned out to be.

Here’s what I posted on Paul Knoepfler’s blog on November 18:

Paul, do you really, SERIOUSLY feel that only a year and a half later, anyone is really ready to transplant iPS cells into human beings? Isn’t a year and a half later “anytime soon?” Between your articles in 2012/2013 and today, we saw the STAP disaster take place at Riken, the SAME place that is responsible for the Takahashi trials. Some of the people involved are the same (such as Wakayama) Do you feel comfortable with the kind of self-policing that Riken has done since then? Do you think that all of the questions and concerns you had only a year and a half ago have been well addressed? Don’t you think there’s at least a real chance that these scientists are rushing terrifyingly and dangerously fast into human trials?

I just feel like the problem with the situation surrounding these human trials in Japan isn’t exactly rocket science. When pared down to its essentials, it’s pretty simple.

Ultimately, it comes down to this:
1.) Paul K. criticized the imminent rush to the clinic of iPSC’s in 2012 and 2013 in no uncertain terms
2.) He specifically said exactly two years ago that he didn’t think these cells would be ready for that IN TWO YEARS, which would be, well, today
3.) He listed some steps that he thought needed to be taken in order to be even a bit more confident that iPSC’s were ready for clinical human trials, and those steps weren’t taken,
4.) He brought up a ton of serious concerns, and now… can he SERIOUSLY be jumping on the rah-rah train? I don’t know if it’s exactly that bad, but he suddenly seems to have dropped all genuine criticism.

I really, really love Paul K’s blog, I think he’s an amazing scientist, he’s done so much good work, and I have so much respect for him… but when it comes to this issue, I think that he should return to his earlier and much more critical stance. Stem cell research is literally a matter of life and death. It’s worth being critical about.

Link to the Amazing msemporda’s Blog

There are a lot of stem cell blogs out there, some of them better than others… a LOT better. and some a lot worse. 😛 Paul Knoepfler’s blog is one of those at the head of the pack for sure, although I don’t always agree with everything he’s been publishing lately, especially the glowing, overly optimistic, heading-for-a-fall-IMHO coverage of Takahashi and her iPSC cell based RPE work in Japan. (You know, the one where they’re moving terrifyingly fast and using humans as guinea pigs about a zillion times faster than they should have…) But anyway. We all have our own opinions. 🙂

It’s also good to branch out. And that’s why I’m recommending this link to msemporda’s blog!

The Amazing Stem Cell Science Blog. THIS, I tell you, is an expert. Stem cell science, sector analysis, biotech company analysis, news… he has it all. And he’s somehow able to keep from rants…. I can’t do that, and I admit it… So check it out. 🙂

Day One of NaNo! And now, let’s talk about STAP…

It’s Day One of National Novel Writing Month! I’m officially a NaNo rebel, because I’m writing nonfiction. (Note the “novel” part. 😉 The idea is that you write 50,000 words during the month of November. (Don’t worry! I’ve done it before.) It can be done with nonfic, of course, and a lot of people seem to be doing it this year. Still, we’re kind of the stepchildren of the site… we don’t even get our own forums.

Today, I wrote the first 2000 words, yes and YAY! I’m starting with the STAP debacle from early this year. Here’s a sample (and please remember that the whole point of NaNo is that you don’t edit until you’re done… 😉

When it comes to the issue of STAP cells (stimulus-triggered acquisition of pluripotency cells),here’s the impression that everyone pretty much got at first, which was January 2014, when the original papers came out. There’s this new treatment coming out any day now, and all that scientists need to do is to take regular adult cells and throw them in some orange juice, or poke at them with a straw and put them through a colander, and they turn into happy shiny new cells they can change into anything. Yay! Then you go to your doctor and he makes a new special treatment just for you for any disease that you could ever possibly have in the world.

Well I have to admit that this did, and does, sound good. How could it not? A special treatment just for you, and it’s that easy? A little TOO easy…

Is the phrase “I have a bridge to sell you” coming to mind yet?